The CSO's National Employment Survey 2007 provides us with the most recent comprehensive overview of earnings in Ireland. According to that data, in October 2007, 4.9% of employees in Ireland — or 83,700 people — were earning €8.65 per hour or less. Due to methodological difficulties, it is not possible to estimate precisely the number earning exactly the €8.65 rate.
While that proportion is low, those workers are concentrated in a number of vulnerable sectors. For example, some 9% of workers in retail and 11% in hotels and restaurants, earn less than €8.66 per hour. Furthermore, the latest advice available to us states that the minimum wage sets a baseline for wage negotiations. It is assumed that wages up to 1.5 times the minimum wage are impacted by changes in the rate, and up to 30% of wage rates may be affected by a change in the national minimum wage.
The research published last week by Forfás, and advice following from it, is clear when it states that a reduction in the national minimum wage will result in an increase in employment in the medium term. It is important to point out that the reduction in the minimum wage is one element of the labour market reforms outlined in the national recovery plan, which also include the review of sectoral agreements, new labour market activation policies and welfare policy. We all agree that the State must act to remove any legislative and policy obstacles to job creation.
It is expected that there will be a benefit to the Exchequer in terms of savings from reduced transfer payments and increased taxation that will accrue from the increased employment arising from a far more flexible labour market. With regard to the last element of Deputy Penrose's question, I outlined in a reply to a parliamentary question on 13 October, that in November 2008, ICTU requested the Labour Court to review the national minimum wage and to make a recommendation concerning its adjustment. The court subsequently invited submissions on the issue and also held discussions with relevant parties.
In February this year, ICTU requested the Labour Court to defer any further consideration of the matter for the time being, saying that it would be in contact again with the court in the second half of the year when the economic outlook might be clearer. During this period, a recommendation from the Labour Court was still awaited.
On 23 November, ICTU informed the Labour Court that it was formally withdrawing its claim for an adjustment to the national minimum wage. Accordingly, the Labour Court's involvement in the matter has now concluded.